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Historical Volatility Node

Realized Volatility from Price History

IndicatorVolatilityRealized

Historical Volatility measures the standard deviation of logarithmic price returns over a specified period, representing the actual volatility realized in price movements. It's the most straightforward volatility measure and serves as the realized vs implied comparison for option traders. Daily HV tracking helps identify volatility regimes and mean reversion opportunities.

Formula

LN_Return = LN(Close / Previous Close)
HV = StdDev(LN_Return × 100, period)

Parameters

ParameterDefault
period20

Use Cases

1. Realized vs Implied Comparison

Compare HV to implied volatility for option mispricings.

2. Volatility Regime Identification

Track 100-day HV for long-term volatility trends.

3. Mean Reversion Setup

Extreme HV (high or low) often reverts to average.

4. Strategy Performance Baseline

Establish expected returns relative to HV environment.

Advantages & Limitations

Advantages

  • • Simple and intuitive concept
  • • Backward-looking (realized)
  • • No complex calculations
  • • Works with just close prices
!

Limitations

  • • Lagging indicator (past data)
  • • Doesn't predict future vol
  • • Less efficient than OHLC methods

Tips & Best Practices

📊 Multi-Period Tracking

Track HV(10), HV(20), HV(100) to identify term structure.

⚡ Compare to Implied

When HV &lt IV, market overprices options; when HV > IV, underpriced.

💰 Annualization

HV × √252 = annualized volatility for direct IV comparison.

⚠️ Historical Doesn't Predict

High past volatility doesn't guarantee future high volatility; market changes.

Related Indicators

Standard Deviation

HV base calculation method

ATR

Alternative volatility measure

Yang-Zhang Volatility

More efficient OHLC alternative

Bollinger Bands

Uses stdev for dynamic support bands